NCAA Tourney Final 4 Games

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My picks for today:

UCLA +2 for 3 units
North Carolina -3 for 1 unit

Shenanigans NBA ending last night

I would have ran home to get my broom, but it ended up helping me out.

So since there was no late baseball games last night, I was flipping through the channels and fount the basketball doubleheader on TNT. The first game ran a little late, so I had some time to get a bet down on the Trailblazer/Rockets game. Looking at my data, it appeared that the Over/Under Line was too low at 178.5. So I played the over and watched the game.

Over 178.5 means I need 45 a quarter, 90 at half, 135 at third, etc to keep pace. The game was 23-22(45), 52-43(95), 74-63(137) after 3. So ahead of pace and looking good, but definitely not lock time. Need 42 in the 4th to get over, and they have been over that every quarter.

4th Quarter

12:00	Start of period
11:45	74-63

Skip ahead

8:51

74-66

Ok so 3 points in over 3 minutes is not good for me.

Now, fast forward to about 2:18 left in the game, total at 173, just need 6 points

2:18	93-80	POR	Jarrett Jack made Jump Shot
1:52		HOU	Lost ball turnover on Luther Head
1:47		HOU	Shooting foul on Chuck Hayes
1:47	93-80	POR	LaMarcus Aldridge missed 1st of 2 Free Throws
1:47	93-81	POR	LaMarcus Aldridge made 2nd of 2 Free Throws
1:30	93-81	HOU	Chuck Hayes missed Layup
1:08	93-81	HOU	Aaron Brooks missed Floating Jump Shot
1:03		POR	Defensive Rebound by Channing Frye
55.0		POR	Lost ball turnover on Travis Outlaw, Stolen by Chuck Hayes
34.0	93-81	HOU	Luther Head missed 3-pt. Jump Shot
34.0		POR	Defensive Rebound by LaMarcus Aldridge

During this time, Houston was milking every second of the shot clock like they should. 1:47 to 1:03 was a very long Houston possession in where they got a shot off, hit the rim, and it went out of bounds off Portland. Then they ran shot clock again down to buzzer again. I have had a few of these go against me like this recently, so I had pretty much given up when Head missed that three pointer.

The reason I bring any of this up:

20.0	93-83	POR	Jarrett Jack made Jump Shot
14.0		POR	Shooting foul on Travis Outlaw

I have taken this from the CBS play-by-play on their website, when they say shooting foul, they mean free throws are coming. He was not in the act of shooting, he was dribbling around to try and run out the clock, which they had been doing for the last 2 minutes. So what changed? Did they bring out the 8 ball from MTV Jock and Jams? Down 10, they foul with 14 seconds.

It gets better:

14.0	93-83	HOU	Aaron Brooks missed 1st of 2 Free Throws
14.0	94-83	HOU	Aaron Brooks made 2nd of 2 Free Throws
14.0		POR	30-second Timeout

Why would they call a timeout down 11 with 14 seconds left? In any case the over actually has a chance now. Only need 2 points.

10.0

94-86

POR

LaMarcus Aldridge made 3-pt. Jump Shot

Portland did not foul after the make and let Houston run out the clock. Thank you crooked NBA...I won. Also, typically when I win a game like this, I run hot for a while. So if you were thinking about fading me after what I have been doing recently, beware.

Over/Under System starting out strong

Over at one of my other blogs, baseball over/under system, my over/under plays have started out red hot going 4-0, for +4 units.

Cross posting the plays here if you are interested:

Atlanta Braves/Pittsburgh Pirates Over 9.5 +100

Tampa Bay Devil Rays/Baltimore Orioles Over 10 -110

EARLY GAME - 1:05 Washington Nationals/Philadelphia Phillies Over 9.5 +105

Thursday Afternoon Baseball

In about 45 minutes the Diamondbacks are playing the Cincinnati Reds. I got Arizona at +116 at 5dimes. Will be back for more tonight.

Baseball Picks for Wednesday Night

Only one play today for me:

Colorado Rockies -105 over the St. Louis Cardinals

Wagering 3.15 units to win 3 units

2008 Baseball record (1-1, +0.6 Units)