Tuesday, June 12, 2007
My re-re-reimergence
Cavs +1.5 - 1 unit
San Antonio / Cleveland UNDER 179.5 - 3 units
Love the under play here. This game may easily end up in the 150-160's. Ugly ugly basketball. The Spurs ran it up and down the court in game 2. They will not do that again tonight. Expect a lot of "run the clock down to 4 seconds" plays by both teams. Cleveland cannot run up and down the court.
Cleveland looks like crap, they are crappy and will be for some time now. This is the deal though. I cannot tell you how many times though that the home team wins game 3 in this spot. Oh wait, I have the internet and I can look it up and tell you.
All time NBA Final History, 19 times a team has gone down 0-2 on the road, and 15 of them came home to win game 3. Since the 2-3-2 format, 10 times a team has gone down 0-2 on the road, and 7 of them came home to win game 3 at home. 7 out of 10, 15 out of 19.
Remember game 3 of the Jazz/Spurs. First two games the Spurs dominated, then game 3 they lost by 26 on the road. Cleveland was down 0-2 coming back from Detroit and won game 3. If I remember correctly, in both cases the lines were verrrrry similar to this, with the home team being a slight dog.
Lebron got two quick fouls early in game 2, so expect something similar to happen tonight to the Spurs. Lebron will probably score 30-40 tonight, with nearly half of them coming at the line. The NBA wants to showcase him, they want this series to go as long as possible.
Tuesday, May 22, 2007
Bets for May 22
Picks for today:
NBA Playoffs
Spurs -6
Spurs/Jazz under 188.5 2 unit play
MLB Baseball - Posted earlier
Pittsburgh Pirates +1½ -175
Houston Astros -111
Minnesota Twins -161
Pittsburgh Pirates/St Louis Cardinals under 8½ +100
Milwaukee Brewers/Los Angeles Dodgers over 7½ -105
Oakland Athletics/Chicago White Sox over 9½ -125 for Game
NHL Playoffs
Detroit Red Wings +130 – Biggest bet I have made in a long long time
Baseball plays for today
| Wanted to make sure I got these in before they started. This is what my ticket looks like tonight for baseball. Basketball and Hockey games still have an hour before start time. I will come back and update before then. I am leaning San Antonio, the over, and the Wings tonight. Baseball - 957 Pittsburgh Pirates +1½ -175 for Game |
| Baseball - 965 Houston Astros -111 for Game |
| Baseball - 975 Minnesota Twins -161 for Game |
| Baseball - 957 Pittsburgh Pirates/St Louis Cardinals under 8½ +100 for Game |
| Baseball - 963 Milwaukee Brewers/Los Angeles Dodgers over 7½ -105 for Game |
| Baseball - 979 Oakland Athletics/Chicago White Sox over 9½ -125 for Game |
Monday, May 21, 2007
Sports Betting picks for Monday May 21
That was pretty close to a +8 unit day yesterday, about 47 seconds away from it. I turned off the TV and went and had dinner with the family with the Wings on the powerplay, winning 1-0, and less then 3 minutes left in the game. Turned it back on in OT just in time to see Selanne score the game winner. So an 8 unit night turned a 5.5 unit one.
Sunday nights this time of year can be kind of rough. No late Basketball, no late hockey, one baseball game. I wanted to keep the streak alive, so I fired up some $15 sit-n-go tournaments at PokerStars and raked in another $100. Streak lives.
After a rocky start in the NBA playoffs, I now have hit 11 out of my last 14 games for a profit of 10.7 units. Tonight we have the Pistons playing the Cavs. Opening Over/Under line: 176? Expect to see an ugly as hell basketball game tonight. I can't remember the time I saw a line that low. I expect the Pistons to take care of business at home tonight. They usually start off strong in game 1's, then get full of themselves by the end of game 2. No reason to see this change tonight. Pistons by 15, and the total will squeek into the 180's.
Only 8 games tonight in baseball, instead of the normal 15. Only see one game worth playing, as all the other lines look pretty tight tonight.
NBA Playoffs
Pistons -6
Pistons/Cavs Over 176.5 2 UNIT PLAY
My record:
NBA Playoffs 33-27-2, +6.2 units
2007 season including Playoffs -118-75-2, +58.1 units
MLB Baseball
My MLB Baseball record – 41-28-1, +15.33 units
NHL Playoffs
No gamesMy NHL Playoff Record – 11-11-5, +1.3 units
YESTERDAY'S Results 6-3, +5.5 units
NBA Playoff Betting 2-0, +3.0 units
Spurs -6.5 - 2 unit play - winner
Spurs/Jazz over 185 - winner
MLB Baseball Betting 3-2, +1.5 units
White Sox / Cubs OVER 7.5 - winner
Cubs -1.5 +100 - loser
NHL Playoffs 1-1, +1 unit
Sunday, May 20, 2007
Baseball, NBA Basketball Playoffs, and NHL hockey best bets for Sunday
NBA Playoffs
Spurs -6.5 - 2 unit play
Spurs/Jazz over 185
NBA Playoffs 31-27-2, +3.2 units
2007 season including Playoffs -116-75-2, +55.1 units
MLB Baseball
White Sox / Cubs OVER 7.5
Cubs -1.5 +100
MLB Baseball – 38-26-1, +13.85 units
NHL Playoffs
NHL Playoffs – 10-10-5, +0.3 units
Yesterdays Results -
DETROIT
Monday, May 14, 2007
18-4 streak over the last 3 days
Damn, what a good last 3 days. 18-4 since Friday for +15.45 units. I finally got the NBA playoffs and the NHL playoffs in the positive. Also this weekend brought my baseball system picks for this season over 100 units. Here's to keeping it rolling.
Picks for today:
NBA Playoffs -
NBA Playoffs Record 29-26-2, +2.3 units
2007 season including Playoffs -114-74-2, +54.2 units
MLB Baseball
New York Mets -140
Los Angeles Dodgers -150
Toronto Blue Jays +120
Los Angles Dodgers /
MLB Baseball Record – 35-24-1, +13.6 units
NHL Playoffs Record - 10-10-5, +0.3 units
Yesterdays Results - 8-1, +7.9 units
NBA Playoffs 2-1, +0.9 units
Detroit Pistons -3
Detroit Pistons/Chicago Bulls Over 181.5
Utah Jazz +7
MLB Baseball 5-0, + 5.9 units
Seattle Mariners +1.5 +110
Seattle +175 (60)
Minnesota Twins +105 (65)
New York Yankees / Seattle Mariners Under 10 (1.5)
Colorado Rockies / San Francisco Giants Over 10 (3.5)
NHL Playoffs – 1-0, +1.07 units
Anaheim Mighty Ducks +107
Sunday, May 13, 2007
Late Sports betting picks for Sunday
Detroit Pistons -3
Detroit Pistons/Chicago Bulls Over 181.5
Utah Jazz +7
MLB Baseball
Seattle Mariners +1.5 +110
Seattle +175 (60)
Minnesota Twins +105 (65)
New York Yankees / Seattle Mariners Under 10 (1.5)
Colorado Rockies / San Francisco Giants Over 10 (3.5)
NHL Playoffs
Anaheim Mighty Ducks +107
Saturday, May 12, 2007
Saturday best bets for the day
NBA
Spurs -4.5 (2 units)
New Jersey Nets -5
MLB
New York
Philadelphia
Colorado Rockies/San Fransisco Giants Over 9.5 -115
NHL
Buffalo Sabers -155
Results from Yesterday - 5-1 +4 units
NBA
Golden State -6.5
Golden State ML -310
MLB
Colorado Rockies -1.5 +190
San Francisco / Colorado Rockies Over 10.5
LA Dodgers -124
NHL
Detroit Red Wings -140
Friday, May 11, 2007
Hot sports bet picks for tonight
NBA
Golden State -6.5
Golden State ML -310
MLB
Colorado Rockies -1.5 +190
San Francisco / Colorado Rockies Over 10.5
LA Dodgers -124
NHL
Detroit Red Wings -140
Monday, May 07, 2007
Sports Betting picks for tonight
Games for today:
NBA -
Pistons/Bulls Over 181
Utah/Golden State Over 208
Chicago Bulls +5
NHL
San Jose -135
MLB
Brewers/Nationals over 9
Rockies +123
Mets/Giants over 8.5
Friday, May 04, 2007
Picks for Friday night
Big game tonight for
Picks for Friday
MLB
Minnesota/Boston under 9.5
NBA
Toronto/NJ Over 188
NJ -7
NJ -4.5 First Half *Best Bet*
NHL
Buffallo -200
Results from yesterday and some record keeping updates
4-2 last night, +1.89 units.
NBA
Utah -4.5
Houston/Utah under 184
Mavs/Golden State under 208
MLB
Indians -150
Twins -101
Have a little bit of catching up to do with some record keeping -
From Saturday, April 28th
NBA plays
Detroit/Orlando under 183 - loser
Denver/San Antonio Over 193 - loser
Cleveland -5 - winner
From Monday, April 30
NBA plays
Denver/San Antonio Over 189.5 - loser
From Tuesday, April 24
MLB my pics - non system
Milwaukee
San Diego
LA Dodgers -147
Milwaukee/Chicago Over 7 -120
San Diego/Arizona Under Under 9 -115
Toronto/Boston Under 9.5 -125
Thursday, May 03, 2007
Thursday night
NBA
Jazz -4.5
Rockets/Jazz under 184
Dallas -2
Dallas/Golden State under 208
MLB
Indians -150
Twins -101
Good luck tonight.
Wierd night with 3 pushes
Basketball - Lakers +10.5-winner
Lakers/Suns over 209 - winner
Denver/San Antonio over 189.5 – loser – was under all 5 games of series - only 30 points were scored in the 3rd quarter, and Denver only scored 30 all half.
Baseball - Yankees/Texas over 10.5 – Suspended
Hockey - San Jose/Detroit under 5 – push – Go Wings – goal with less then 20 seconds left to tie, and won it in overtime. Course if they would not have scored, this was a winner.
New Jersey/Ottawa under 5 - push
Wednesday, May 02, 2007
Wednesday plays, thoughts and updates
Basketball - Lakers +10.5
Lakers/Suns over 209
Denver/San Antonio over 189.5
Baseball - Yankees/Texas over 10.5
Hockey - San Jose/Detroit under 5
New Jersey/Ottawa under 5
I have not had time to come post in here the last few days. I have a few different projects I just started up that have taken a lot of my time. But, things are starting to get back on track, so I plan on daily updates to happen again like they were previously.
I had a few different baseball systems that I started tracking here that I am continuing to track. If you are interested, check out baseball-systems.com for my run line baseball system. If you look at the right hand side of that page, you will see "Other Baseball Systems" with links to all the other systems as well. Last night was a good night, as the money line baseball system went 4-1 while the over/under baseball system went 2-0-1.
I'll be back...
Monday, April 30, 2007
100th post - Big winner
Play Denver/San Antonio OVER 190. This game will make it to the 200's.
Good luck.
Saturday, April 28, 2007
Plays and Results for Saturday
Detroit/Orlando under 183
Denver/San Antonio Over 193
Cleveland -5
Today Road System Plays -
Angels/White Sox Under - game 2
Todays Underdog System Plays -
Florida +101
Colorado +112
Texas +109
Results from yesterday
NBA Picks
Warriors +4
Warriors +164 ML
Road System plays –
Minnesota/Detroit Under - win
White Sox - win
Angels/White Sox Under - loser
Phillies - win
Cubs/Cardinals Under - win
Cubs - win
Angels - loss
Underdog System - 26-32, +.25 units
Road Series Systems - 33-0, +33 units on posted plays - 46-0, +46 units on the year
NBA Picks -Playoffs - 12-8 - +3 units
2007 Season (inc playoffs) - 97-56-2, +54.9 units
NBA PLAYOFFS DAY 7 Highlights
Friday, April 27, 2007
NBA Playoffs Day 7
I was lucky enough to get on the early games, and took Miami and NJ. Obviously I cannot and will not count them in the records, but still shaping up to be a nice night. Only one game left, Warriors at home against the Mavericks.
If everythings follow the NBA playoff script, then I would favor the Warriors to win this game, lose game 4 and 5, win game 6, and lose game 7. But they did what they did and showed up the refs, which is not good. It will be interesting to see if the refs handcuff one of the Warriors key players with a couple of quick fouls in the first quarter. It is going to be hostile there. The Warriors have been good to me all year, and they are going to be fired up and especially motivated to win this one. The refs will keep this one close. I am taking the Warriors +4 and Warriors +164 ML
Last nights NBA plays
(2-2, -.9 units - Playoff record 10-8, +.3 units - NBA record 95-56-2, +52.1 units)
Utah -2 first half - winner
Utah/Houston under 93 first half - winner
Detroit/Orlando over 183 - loser
Suns -180 ML - loser
Highlights from Last nights games
Picks and results
Today’s Road System plays –
Minnesota/Detroit Under
White Sox
Angels/White Sox Under
Cleveland
Phillies
Cubs/Cardinals Under
Today’s Underdog picks
Cubs
Rockies
Last nights NBA plays
Utah -2 first half - winner
Utah/Houston under 93 first half - winner
Detroit/Orlando over 183 - loser
Suns -180 ML - loser
Last Nights Underdog plays - 3-1 +2.59
Kansas City Royals +139 - loser
Pittsburgh Pirates + 132 - winner
Seattle Mariners +112 – winner -
Arizona Diamondbacks +115 - winner
Last Nights Road System plays –
None
Thursday, April 26, 2007
NBA Basketball Playoff - Day 6
Tonight we have 3 more games:
NBA playoff record 8-6-1, +1.2 units
NBA 2007 record 93-54-2, +53.0 units
Tonights plays:
Utah -2 first half
Utah/Houston under 93 first half
Detroit/Orlando over 183
Suns -180 ML
Utah -4.5 vs Houston - Houston has won and covered both games in the series. This should be a close game till the end. I don't like the way Utah has played during the last half of the season. But, I do think that they will step it up right out of the box, and both teams will play tight for the first half. I am taking Utah -2 first half and under 93 first half.
Detroit -2.5 at Orlando - Detroit notoriously cannot sweep anyone. They have dominated this series until late in the 4th of each game, giving Orlando back to back covers. They have won all 6 games against the Magic this year. With the line this low, it makes me think something is up. I am playing over 183 on this one, as the Magic usually come out guns blazing in big games this year.
Suns -4 against the Lakers - Again, here we have just an utter mismatch, but this game will probably close until the end of the game. The number scares me, and I cannot bet on the Lakers. Fuuny that I would probably take the Suns if the line was -5.5 or -6. I will take the Suns on the Money Line as I think that they are the superior team here. Suns -180 ML.
Yesterdays results - 3-4, -1.4 units -
Golden State +9.5 BEST BET - loser
San Antonio -8.5 - winner
Cleveland -11.5 - loser
Golden State/Dallas Under 209.5 - loser (total was 211, 2 FTs with 7 seconds left)
San Antonio/Denver Under 193.5 - Winner
San Antonio/Denver Under 98 first half - Winner
Cleveland/Washington under 186 - Loser(73 points scored in the 4th quarter, more then both teams scored in the first and third quarter combined)
Last nights highlights - Day 5